Terrorism : Most of 2013 terrorist attacks took place in only a few countries

Published 28 August 2014

The majority of terrorist attacks occurring in 2013 remained isolated in just a few countries, according to the Global Terrorism Database (GTD), which is generated by the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START). In 2013, 11,952 terrorist attacks resulted in 22,178 fatalities (including perpetrator deaths) and 37,529 injuries across 91 countries. More than half of all attacks (54 percent), fatalities (61 percent), and injuries (69 percent) occurred in just three countries: Iraq, Pakistan, and Afghanistan.

The majority of terrorist attacks occurring in 2013 remained isolated in just a few countries, according to the Global Terrorism Database (GTD), which is generated by the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) based at the University of Maryland. With the addition of nearly 12,000 terrorist attacks in 2013, the database now includes more than 125,000 events dating back to 1970 and, according to START, it remains the most comprehensive unclassified database of terrorist attacks around the world.

2013 terrorist attacks
START says that in 2013, 11,952 terrorist attacks resulted in 22,178 fatalities (including perpetrator deaths) and 37,529 injuries across 91 countries. More than half of all attacks (54 percent), fatalities (61 percent), and injuries (69 percent) occurred in just three countries: Iraq, Pakistan, and Afghanistan.

By wide margins, the highest number of fatalities (7,046), attacks (2,852) and injuries (15,736) took place in Iraq. The average lethality of attacks in Iraq was 34 percent higher than the global average and 30 percent higher than the 2012 average in Iraq.

“It is important to note that increases in terrorism in 2013 were geographically concentrated in many of the same places which saw high levels of political violence in 2012,” said Gary LaFree, START director and professor of Criminology and Criminal Justice. “The list of countries that experienced the most attacks remained virtually unchanged over the past two years-terrorism is generally getting worse in the places where it has been bad for several years.”

While terrorism remained heavily concentrated in the same parts of the world, the countries within those regions experienced some notable changes. In 2013, total attacks increased for Iraq, Pakistan, the Philippines, Syria, Egypt, Libya, and Lebanon; and decreased for Nigeria and Turkey. The most lethal single attack in 2013 took place in September in Nigeria when members of Boko Haram set up illegal checkpoints and killed 142 civilians.

10 countries with the most terrorist attacks in 2013

Country	Attacks	Fatalities
Iraq	2852	7,046
Pakistan	2212	2,891
Afghanistan	1443	3,697
India	690	464
Philippines	652	432
Thailand	477	253
Yemen	424	622
Nigeria	341	2003
Somalia	331	641
Egypt	315	243

Despite the devastating attack at the Boston Marathon on 15 April 2013, which killed three and wounded more than 200, U.S. citizens remained comparatively safe from terrorism. Worldwide, seventeen U.S. civilians were killed by terrorist attacks in 2013 (including contractors), which is .07 percent of all terrorism fatalities in 2013.

According to LaFree, “these results confirm long-term regional trends that show rising numbers of attacks in the Middle East, North Africa and South Asia and diminishing numbers of attacks in North America and Western Europe.”

Perpetrator groups
Information about the perpetrator group responsible was reported for 33 percent of terrorist attacks in 2013.

Although al-Qaeda central has only been responsible for two known attacks since 2008 (both in 2011), seven of the ten deadliest terrorist groups in the world are affiliated to some extent with the organization. These include the Taliban, Islamic State of Iraq, and the Levant/al-Qaeda in Iraq, Boko Haram, al-Shabaab, Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan, al-Nusrah Front, and al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula.

10 most lethal terrorist organizations in 2013 by number of fatalities

• Taliban* — 2,718
• Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant/Al-Qaida in Iraq* — 1,868
• Boko Haram* — 1,731
• Al-Shabaab* — 735
• Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP)* — 710
• Al-Nusrah Front* — 707
• Lashkar-e-Jhangvi — 404
• Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP)* — 368
• David Yau Yau Militia — 194
• New People’s Army (NPA) — 156

* Al-Qaeda-affiliated

GTD improvements
START notes that with the addition of the 2013 data, the GTD team also updated the database to include:

• Completed geocoding for historical attacks in ten countries, including Iraq, Afghanistan, and Pakistan, dating back to 1970.
• Improved classification of multiple attacks that are coordinated in a single event. This includes identifying pre-1998 attacks as part of coordinated events and linking related attacks by Event ID number throughout the entire dataset.
• Identification of cases that lack clarity about whether the GTDinclusion criteria are satisfied (“doubt terrorism proper” and “alternative designation” variables) for pre-1998 attacks.
• Updated information for thousands of historical cases to improve consistency and accuracy, including reviewing the inclusion criteria for all historical events, and adding more detailed information on casualty data for the 9/11 attacks.

More information about the new variables can be found in the GTDCodebook.

Interpreting the data
GTD data files and documentation are available for download from theSTART Web site for users who would like to conduct custom analysis of the data.

Beginning with 2012 data collection, START made several important changes to the Global Terrorism Database collection methodology, improving the efficiency and comprehensiveness of the process and access to source materials. In general, comparisons of aggregate statistics over time and between locations — and their implications for the state of international security and global counterterrorism efforts — should be interpreted with caution due to considerable variation in the availability of source materials.

The GTD is compiled and maintained by START through research grants awarded to the University of Maryland by the Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate’s Office of University Programs, the U.S. Department of State’s Bureau of Counterterrorism, and the Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate’s Resilient Systems Division.

www.homelandsecuritynewswire.com